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An adaptive data-driven method for accurate prediction of remaining useful life of rolling bearings

Yanfeng PENG, Junsheng CHENG, Yanfei LIU, Xuejun LI, Zhihua PENG

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2018年第13卷第2期页码 301-310 doi: 10.1007/s11465-017-0449-7

摘要：

A novel data-driven method based on Gaussian mixture model (GMM) and distance evaluation technique (DET) is proposed to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings. The data sets are clustered by GMM to divide all data sets into several health states adaptively and reasonably. The number of clusters is determined by the minimum description length principle. Thus, either the health state of the data sets or the number of the states is obtained automatically. Meanwhile, the abnormal data sets can be recognized during the clustering process and removed from the training data sets. After obtaining the health states, appropriate features are selected by DET for increasing the classification and prediction accuracy. In the prediction process, each vibration signal is decomposed into several components by empirical mode decomposition. Some common statistical parameters of the components are calculated first and then the features are clustered using GMM to divide the data sets into several health states and remove the abnormal data sets. Thereafter, appropriate statistical parameters of the generated components are selected using DET. Finally, least squares support vector machine is utilized to predict the RUL of rolling bearings. Experimental results indicate that the proposed method reliably predicts the RUL of rolling bearings.

关键词： Gaussian mixture model distance evaluation technique health state remaining useful life rolling bearing

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Two-phase early prediction method for remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries based on a neural

《能源前沿（英文）》 doi: 10.1007/s11708-023-0906-4

摘要： Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) are widely used in transportation, energy storage, and other fields. The prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium batteries not only provides a reference for health management but also serves as a basis for assessing the residual value of the battery. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of the RUL of LIBs, a two-phase RUL early prediction method combining neural network and Gaussian process regression (GPR) is proposed. In the initial phase, the features related to the capacity degradation of LIBs are utilized to train the neural network model, which is used to predict the initial cycle lifetime of 124 LIBs. The Pearson coefficient’s two most significant characteristic factors and the predicted normalized lifetime form a 3D space. The Euclidean distance between the test dataset and each cell in the training dataset and validation dataset is calculated, and the shortest distance is considered to have a similar degradation pattern, which is used to determine the initial Dual Exponential Model (DEM). In the second phase, GPR uses the DEM as the initial parameter to predict each test set’s early RUL (ERUL). By testing four batteries under different working conditions, the RMSE of all capacity estimation is less than 1.2%, and the accuracy percentage (AP) of remaining life prediction is more than 98%. Experiments show that the method does not need human intervention and has high prediction accuracy.

关键词： lithium-ion batteries RUL prediction double exponential model neural network Gaussian process regression (GPR)

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化工装置材料损伤和寿命预测技术的研究

戴树和

《中国工程科学》 1999年第1卷第3期页码 63-68

摘要：

文章综述了笔者及所在科研组近年来在化工静设备，如热交换器、塔器、反应器、工业炉、储槽、储罐（球罐）、压力容器和管道等的材料损伤和寿命预测技术领域的研究进展。由于各种设备结构不同，工况条件各异，导致材料损伤的机理也不相同。文章从它们的共性问题和方法论高度进行了研究。内容包括：①按照方法论要求，提出了处理工程参数不确定性问题的途径；②用定量金相分析方法揭示金属材料服役后微观组织变化、确定其损伤程度并预测寿命。理论成果的应用取得了工程实际的成效，并获重要社会效益和经济效益。

关键词：化工设备材料损伤寿命预测

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Soil health—useful terminology for communication or meaningless concept? Or both?

David S. POWLSON

《农业科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2020年第7卷第3期页码 246-250 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2020326

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Design of composite flywheel rotor

BAI Yue, GAO Qingjia, LI Haiwen, WU Yihui, XUAN Ming

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2008年第3卷第3期页码 288-292 doi: 10.1007/s11465-008-0045-y

摘要： A design method for a flywheel rotor composed of a composite rim and a metal hub is proposed by studying the connection between the rotor and the driving machine. The influence of some factors such as the rotor material, configuration, connection, and fracture techniques on energy density is analyzed. The results show that the ratio of the inner radius to outer radius of the rim is the key factor, and is determined by the rim material. Optimizing the hub can further efficiently improve energy density. The composite flywheel rotor is produced and its rotation stress has been tested at the speed of 20 krpm. The emulation results are consistent with testing results, which proves that the introduced design method is useful.

关键词： introduced useful density composite driving machine

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Synthesis of Intermittent-Motion Linkages with Slight Difference in Length Between Links

CHEN Xin-bo, YU Zhen

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2006年第1卷第1期页码 76-79 doi: 10.1007/s11465-005-0007-6

摘要：

The design of intermittent-motion linkages using traditional methods is usually complicated. In this paper, (1) a new method for realizing intermittent motion, using linkages with a slight difference in length between links, is studied; (2) some new types of intermittent-motion linkages and their software for visual analysis and design are developed; and (3) influences of some design parameters on intermittent-motion characteristics are clarified. Results confirmed that the theory and the software are useful, making the synthesis of intermittent-motion linkages clear and easy.

关键词： synthesis useful intermittent intermittent-motion traditional

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Whole-life Thinking and Engineering the Future

Roger Flanagan

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2014年第1卷第3期页码 290-296 doi: 10.15302/J-FEM-2014040

摘要： Whole-life thinking for engineers working on the built environment has become more important in a fast changing world. Whole-life thinking is not new, every project attempts to balance the initial capital cost with the operating and maintenance cost of an asset. Engineers are increasingly concerned with complex systems, in which the parts interact with each other and with the outside world in many ways — the relationships between the parts determine how the system behaves. Systems thinking provides one approach to developing a more robust whole-life approach. Systems thinking is a process of understanding how things influence one another within a wider perspective. Complexity, chaos, and risk are endemic in all major projects. New approaches are needed to produce more reliable whole-life predictions. Best value, rather than lowest cost, can be achieved by using whole-life appraisal as a part of the design and delivery strategy.

关键词： whole-life thinking systems thinking complexity chaos risk management through life

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基于飞机结构寿命包线的飞机结构单机寿命监控

何宇廷

《中国工程科学》 2006年第8卷第6期页码 23-27

摘要：

在分析基准使用条件下飞机结构寿命包线的基础上，给出飞机结构在非基准使用条件下的寿命包线的绘制方法，阐明了在非基准使用条件下对飞机结构进行单机寿命监控的原理与方法。最后以飞机首翻后进行第二次大修的大修间隔期监控为例进行了分析说明。

关键词：飞机结构寿命包线寿命监控大修间隔期

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Comparison on End-of-Life strategies of WEEE in China based on LCA

Bin Lu, Xiaolong Song, Jianxin Yang, Dong Yang

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2017年第11卷第5期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-017-0994-7

摘要： As the Electrical and Electronic Equipment (EEE) are upgraded more frequently in China, a large quantity of Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment (WEEE) was and will be generated. It becomes an urgent issue to develop and adopt an effective End-of-Life (EoL) strategy for EEE in order to balance the resource recovery and environmental impacts. In an EoL strategy hierarchy for EEE, reuse strategy is usually deemed to be prior to materials recovery and other strategies. But in practice, the advantages and disadvantages of different strategies are always context-dependent. Therefore, main EoL strategies for EEE in China need to be evaluated in environment and resources aspects from the life cycle perspective. In this study, the obsolete refrigerator and Power Supply Unit (PSU) of desktop PC are both taken as the target products. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is applied to assess the environmental impacts of different EoL scenarios in China: Unit Reuse Scenario (URS), Component Reuse Scenario (CRS) and Materials Recovery Scenario (MRS). The LCA results show that the EoL strategies hierarchy is reasonable for the part of computer, but not necessarily suitable for obsolete refrigerators. When the policy makers promote or demote one EoL strategy especially reuse, it is necessary to take subsequent impacts into consideration.

关键词： End-of-Life Waste electrical and electronic equipment Life cycle assessment Reuse

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Bayes estimation of residual life by fusing multisource information

Qian ZHAO, Xiang JIA, Zhi-jun CHENG, Bo GUO

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2018年第5卷第4期页码 524-532 doi: 10.15302/J-FEM-2018034

摘要：

Residual life estimation is essential for reliability engineering. Traditional methods may experience difficulties in estimating the residual life of products with high reliability, long life, and small sample. The Bayes model provides a feasible solution and can be a useful tool for fusing multisource information. In this study, a Bayes model is proposed to estimate the residual life of products by fusing expert knowledge, degradation data, and lifetime data. The linear Wiener process is used to model degradation data, whereas lifetime data are described via the inverse Gaussian distribution. Therefore, the joint maximum likelihood (ML) function can be obtained by combining lifetime and degradation data. Expert knowledge is used according to the maximum entropy method to determine the prior distributions of parameters, thereby making this work different from existing studies that use non-informative prior. The discussion and analysis of different types of expert knowledge also distinguish our research from others. Expert knowledge can be classified into three categories according to practical engineering. Methods for determining prior distribution by using the aforementioned three types of data are presented. The Markov chain Monte Carlo is applied to obtain samples of the parameters and to estimate the residual life of products due to the complexity of the joint ML function and the posterior distribution of parameters. Finally, a numerical example is presented. The effectiveness and practicability of the proposed method are validated by comparing it with residual life estimation that uses non-informative prior. Then, its accuracy and correctness are proven via simulation experiments.

关键词： residual life estimation Bayes model linear Wiener process

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A comparison of production system life cycle models

Rajesh ATTRI, Sandeep GROVER

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2012年第7卷第3期页码 305-311 doi: 10.1007/s11465-012-0332-5

摘要：

Companies today need to keep up with the rapidly changing market conditions to stay competitive. The main issues in this paper are related to a company’s market and its competitors. The prediction of market behavior is helpful for a manufacturing enterprise to build efficient production systems. However, these predictions are usually not reliable. A production system is required to adapt to changing markets, but such requirement entails higher cost. Hence, analyzing different life cycle models of the production system is necessary. In this paper, different life cycle models of the production system are compared to evaluate the distinctive features and the limitations of each model. Furthermore, the difference between product life cycle and production life cycle is summarized, and the effect of product life cycle on production life cycle is explained. Finally, a production system life cycle model, along with key activities to be performed in each stage, is proposed specifically for the manufacturing sector.

关键词： production system life cycle model product

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General framework for bridge life cycle design

Junhai MA, Airong CHEN, Jun HE

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2009年第3卷第1期页码 50-56 doi: 10.1007/s11709-009-0004-7

摘要： Based on a detailed illustration for bridge life cycle design which comprises the processes of service life design, aesthetics design, performance design, environmental and ecological design, inspection, maintenance and repair design as well as cost analysis, this paper presented a general framework for bridge life cycle design comprising three design phases and six design processes.

关键词： bridge whole life design design phase design process general framework

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Chemically triggered life control of “smart” hydrogels through click and declick reactions

《化学科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2022年第16卷第9期页码 1399-1406 doi: 10.1007/s11705-022-2149-z

摘要： The degradation of polymeric materials is recognized as one of the goals to be fulfilled for the sustainable economy. In this study, a novel methodology was presented to synthesize multiple highly cross-linked polymers (i.e., hydrogels) through amine–thiol scrambling under mild conditions. Amine-terminated poly(ethylene glycol) (PEG-NH₂) was reacted with the representative conjugate acceptors to synthesize hydrogels in organic and aqueous solutions, respectively. The materials above exhibited high water-swelling properties, distributed porous structures, as well as prominent mechanical strengths. It is noteworthy that the mentioned hydrogels could be degraded efficiently in hours to release the original coupling partner, which were induced by ethylene diamine at ambient temperature through amine-amine metathesis. The recovered PEG-NH₂ reagent could be employed again to regenerate hydrogels. Due to the multiple architectures and functions in polymeric synthesis, degradation and regeneration, a new generation of “smart” materials is revealed.

关键词： hydrogels degradation synthesis regeneration

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State-of-the-art applications of machine learning in the life cycle of solid waste management

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2023年第17卷第4期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-023-1644-x

摘要：

● State-of-the-art applications of machine learning (ML) in solid waste (SW) is presented.

关键词： Machine learning (ML) Solid waste (SW) Bibliometrics SW management Energy utilization Life cycle

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Service life prediction of fly ash concrete using an artificial neural network

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2021年第15卷第3期页码 793-805 doi: 10.1007/s11709-021-0717-9

摘要： Carbonation is one of the most aggressive phenomena affecting reinforced concrete structures and causing their degradation over time. Once reinforcement is altered by carbonation, the structure will no longer fulfill service requirements. For this purpose, the present work estimates the lifetime of fly ash concrete by developing a carbonation depth prediction model that uses an artificial neural network technique. A collection of 300 data points was made from experimental results available in the published literature. Backpropagation training of a three-layer perceptron was selected for the calculation of weights and biases of the network to reach the desired performance. Six parameters affecting carbonation were used as input neurons: binder content, fly ash substitution rate, water/binder ratio, CO₂ concentration, relative humidity, and concrete age. Moreover, experimental validation carried out for the developed model shows that the artificial neural network has strong potential as a feasible tool to accurately predict the carbonation depth of fly ash concrete. Finally, a mathematical formula is proposed that can be used to successfully estimate the service life of fly ash concrete.

关键词： concrete fly ash carbonation neural networks experimental validation service life